Pre-tourney Rankings
Big Sky
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
105 Weber St. 0.0%   24 - 6 18 - 2 24 - 6 18 - 2 +4.3      +3.6 79 +0.7 150 65.0 227 +3.9 110 +5.2 2
148 Montana 100.0%   14   23 - 6 19 - 1 23 - 6 19 - 1 +0.9      +1.9 127 -1.0 199 62.6 274 +5.5 89 +10.6 1
251 Northern Colorado 0.0%   11 - 18 10 - 10 11 - 18 10 - 10 -5.3      +0.4 166 -5.7 313 67.0 181 -7.7 283 -7.1 5
264 North Dakota 0.0%   14 - 16 12 - 8 14 - 16 12 - 8 -6.0      -4.1 275 -1.8 221 70.7 105 -5.8 255 -4.4 3
286 Sacramento St. 0.0%   12 - 15 8 - 12 12 - 15 8 - 12 -8.0      -4.6 288 -3.4 266 61.5 288 -6.9 276 -9.4 8
300 Eastern Washington 0.0%   10 - 21 7 - 13 10 - 21 7 - 13 -9.1      -4.2 277 -4.9 300 73.0 58 -9.6 305 -10.6 9
307 Northern Arizona 0.0%   11 - 21 8 - 12 11 - 21 8 - 12 -9.5      -4.3 282 -5.2 306 72.9 60 -8.0 290 -9.2 7
311 Montana St. 0.0%   11 - 17 10 - 10 11 - 17 10 - 10 -9.7      -1.5 214 -8.2 339 67.7 163 -8.7 297 -6.6 4
312 Portland St. 0.0%   6 - 20 5 - 15 6 - 20 5 - 15 -9.7      +0.5 160 -10.3 341 65.6 213 -12.9 327 -13.4 11
313 Southern Utah 0.0%   9 - 20 8 - 12 9 - 20 8 - 12 -9.8      -7.6 323 -2.2 238 76.1 30 -9.7 306 -9.2 6
320 Idaho St. 0.0%   5 - 24 5 - 15 5 - 24 5 - 15 -10.9      -7.1 321 -3.8 277 56.9 337 -14.1 335 -13.2 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Weber St. 2.0 100.0
Montana 1.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 4.0 100.0
North Dakota 3.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 6.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 9.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 6.0 100.0
Montana St. 4.0 100.0
Portland St. 10.0 100.0
Southern Utah 6.0 100.0
Idaho St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Weber St. 18 - 2 100.0
Montana 19 - 1 100.0
Northern Colorado 10 - 10 100.0
North Dakota 12 - 8 100.0
Sacramento St. 8 - 12 100.0
Eastern Washington 7 - 13 100.0
Northern Arizona 8 - 12 100.0
Montana St. 10 - 10 100.0
Portland St. 5 - 15 100.0
Southern Utah 8 - 12 100.0
Idaho St. 5 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Weber St.
Montana 100.0% 100.0
Northern Colorado
North Dakota
Sacramento St.
Eastern Washington
Northern Arizona
Montana St.
Portland St.
Southern Utah
Idaho St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 4.6 60.9 34.6 0.0
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 7.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 7.0% 0.1 93.0 7.0
Sweet Sixteen 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0